Loading the page.
Pulling the latest framework view now.
Pulling the latest framework view now.
Dubai V1 starts with 20 high-recognition freehold communities across prime, established, and emerging belts. The matcher stays analogue-first; the AE layer adds freehold, yield, off-plan balance, Golden Visa context, metro access, and community-stage checks.
This is a data tool, not a registered adviser. We never label communities buy or sell. Every output stays framed as Strong, Mixed, or Weak framework fit, with the legal disclaimer carried through to the prediction page.
Emerging communities are surfaced first because the framework leans toward earlier-cycle freehold belts over already-fully-priced prime districts.
UAE · refreshed per session
Short-stay licences (YoY)
+45.5%
21K active holiday-home units
Dubai DET / DTCM holiday-home registry
Dubai tourism YTD
9.9M
+6.0% YoY· 81% hotel occupancy
January-June 2025 (DET press release)
AED / USD
3.6725
Pegged since 1997· stable in USD terms
UAE Central Bank reference rate
RevPAR +7.0% YoY — short-stay pricing power remains intact even as the universe expands.
Free-tier market overview
Market-level demand and supply only. We publish measured signals and leave the rest blank instead of filling with proxies.
As of 2026-08-29
Demand pressure
Year-on-year change in Dubai international overnight visitors.
+6.0%
medium
Dubai DET tourism partial-period release
Supply pressure
Year-on-year change in licensed Dubai holiday-home units.
+45.5%
high
Dubai DET / DTCM holiday-home licence registry
Demand to supply
Visitor-growth-to-holiday-home-licence-growth ratio at emirate level.
0.73x
oversupplied
Dubai currently shows supply building faster than demand in the measured signals we can publish.
New launches velocity
Quarter-on-quarter change in primary-market launches.
Not yet
no data
not yet — Dubai does not yet have a shipped free-tier launches velocity series.
Permits pipeline
Year-on-year change in approvals / permits.
Not yet
no data
not yet — Dubai does not yet have a shipped free-tier approvals / permits rollup.
Dubai Real Yield Leaderboard
Communities ranked by gross rental yield — real Ejari rent contracts vs real DLD sales, sample sizes shown.
Communities that just crossed the framework threshold today
153 scored today
153 in universe
Quiet day · 153/153 communitiess scored
Composite scores are stable across the 8-day window.
Composite recomputes as the underlying factor data (NHB Residex, ABS, search interest, etc.) refreshes — check back tomorrow.
Where one locality or community has already moved, and nearby demand tends to echo with a lag.
Pattern: leader rallied first
Marina
Following at 4-4 months lag
JLT
Rationale: Same prime freehold waterfront renter-buyer pool with overflow from Marina into JLT.
Pattern: leader rallied first
Business Bay
Following at 8-8 months lag
Jumeirah Village Circle
Rationale: Shared investor pool rotates from core Dubai apartments into value-led JVC stock.
Pattern: leader rallied first
Town Square
Following at 4-4 months lag
Dubai South
Rationale: Same emerging freehold belt with affordability-led family demand rotating outward.
Launch-heavy growth corridors and affordability-led freehold belts.
West Furjan townhouse corridor
DXB-AL-FURJAN-WEST
—
No DLD or Ejari record yet
No 5yr growth estimate published: No trajectory for DXB-AL-FURJAN-WEST.
Dubailand mixed-use core
DXB-CITY-OF-ARABIA
AED 18K/m²
Median sale · 1007 DLD sales
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Outer lagoon villa launches
DXB-DAMAC-LAGOONS
4.4%
Gross yield · Ejari over DLD
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Route 2020 metro-linked apartments
DXB-DISCOVERY-GARDENS
AED 11K/m²
Median sale · 598 DLD sales
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
DIP mixed-use corridor
DXB-DUBAI-INVESTMENT-PARK
6.2%
Gross yield · Ejari over DLD
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Al Maktoum growth corridor
DXB-DUBAI-SOUTH
AED 13K/m²
Median sale · 1011 DLD sales
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Mature renter and owner-occupier belts with stronger transaction depth.
Central villa catchment
DXB-AL-BARSHA
4.9%
Gross yield · Ejari over DLD
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Metro-linked villa and mid-rise corridor
DXB-AL-FURJAN
AED 15K/m²
Median sale · 798 DLD sales
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Industrial-adjacent residential pocket
DXB-AL-QUOZ
—
No DLD or Ejari record yet
No 5yr growth estimate published: No trajectory for DXB-AL-QUOZ.
Emaar family villa enclave
DXB-ARABIAN-RANCHES
—
No DLD or Ejari record yet
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Miracle Garden apartment corridor
DXB-ARJAN
AED 17K/m²
Median sale · 1831 DLD sales
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Canal-side CBD fringe
DXB-BUSINESS-BAY
4.6%
Gross yield · Ejari over DLD
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Blue-chip waterfront and central districts with thinner framework headroom.
Canal and Sheikh Zayed beachside villas
DXB-AL-SAFA
—
No DLD or Ejari record yet
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Prime low-rise central corridor
DXB-AL-WASL
3.9%
Gross yield · Ejari over DLD
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Island leisure district
DXB-BLUEWATERS
AED 58K/m²
Median sale · 49 DLD sales
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Burj-adjacent trophy address
DXB-BURJ-KHALIFA-DISTRICT
5.5%
Gross yield · Ejari over DLD
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Urban retail and low-rise luxury core
DXB-CITY-WALK
AED 29K/m²
Median sale · 139 DLD sales
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Financial Centre
DXB-DIFC
2.8%
Gross yield · Ejari over DLD
No 5yr growth estimate published: No analogues found. Need more years of trajectory data.
Curated-seed disclosure
Dubai community directory. Prices are median transacted AED per square metre from Dubai Land Department records, shown with the number of sales behind them; yields are computed from Ejari rent contracts over those sales. Where we hold neither, the community is listed without figures rather than with estimated ones.